Casserres vs Puigcerda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+398%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VTO
3 - 5
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
BER
37%
23%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 1
CAS
63%
18%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
ART
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 1
CAS
71%
15%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puigcerda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PUI
2 - 1
MON
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 3
PUI
53%
20%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VTO
0 - 6
PUI
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PUI
3 - 0
BER
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
PUI
36%
21%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |