Casserres vs Palillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 4
CAS
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 0
BAL
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAS
33%
21%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
OLV
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
CAS
7%
13%
79%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 2
CLL
41%
21%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 0
PAL
54%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
SSC
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PUI
2 - 3
PAL
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
5 - 1
MON
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |