Casserres vs Navas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
33.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
37%
23%
41%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVI
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CCR
1 - 0
CAS
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SPM
1 - 3
CAS
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
AVI
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Navas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NAV
1 - 2
CCR
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SSC
2 - 0
NAV
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAV
0 - 3
BER
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PUI
4 - 3
NAV
27%
20%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
NAV
3 - 1
NAV
17%
17%
66%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |