Caspe vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AND
0 - 1
CAS
10%
18%
73%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACF
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 2
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
LAA
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDU
2 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UDM
4 - 1
CEL
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
2 - 1
UDM
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 1
UDS
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
UDM
57%
21%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 1
ATC
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |