Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
5º
12
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
WEL
33%
21%
46%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PET
1 - 5
CAS
16%
16%
68%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
AFC
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 3
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
NAP
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 6
WEL
12%
15%
73%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 0
WEL
50%
22%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
AUC
18%
20%
63%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 4
WEL
22%
19%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |