Casetas vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
UDC
1 - 4
SSR
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDC
65%
22%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
UDC
2 - 2
TAL
26%
27%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CUL
4 - 0
UDC
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
UDC
0 - 2
MIR
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TAL
0 - 1
ALC
28%
27%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 0
CUL
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MIR
1 - 1
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATB
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |