Casetas vs El Gancho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+362%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 1
CAS
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 1
HIS
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PIN
3 - 1
CAS
14%
18%
69%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
EBR
63%
18%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ISA
2 - 1
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
El Gancho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GAN
5 - 2
EMO
56%
21%
23%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DEL
3 - 1
GAN
52%
22%
26%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
GAN
4 - 3
PSA
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
GAN
1 - 2
AVA
57%
19%
24%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 2
GAN
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |