Casetas vs Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAS
18%
21%
62%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
PIN
37%
24%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
UTE
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CBO
2 - 4
CAS
24%
22%
55%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
HUR
9%
15%
75%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ZUE
4 - 1
PAD
39%
22%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
PER
39%
24%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
PAD
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
MOL
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |