Casertana vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
FIA
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
CAS
17%
25%
59%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FON
2 - 0
SIR
44%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 2
FON
50%
25%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FON
1 - 2
NUO
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
FON
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
FON
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |