Casertana vs Real Monterotondo Scalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
13º
3º
42
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CSO
0 - 2
CAS
32%
22%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
SSC
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAG
2 - 1
CAS
58%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
ASI
69%
16%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HYR
1 - 2
CAS
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monterotondo Scalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 2
POM
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RMS
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RMS
1 - 0
SSD
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 0
LRO
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SOR
0 - 0
RMS
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |