Caselas vs U.D. Mos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+185%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LGU
1 - 1
CAS
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 1
CAS
27%
24%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
UMI
54%
22%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ERI
0 - 0
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 0
GON
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 3
MOS
46%
23%
32%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 1
PON
28%
24%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
MOS
74%
16%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 2
CAS
20%
21%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |