Caselas vs CD Estradense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
CAS
66%
20%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
4 - 4
CAM
48%
22%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
2 - 4
POR
38%
25%
36%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 2
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
EST
7 - 0
CAM
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
CRU
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ARO
0 - 2
EST
49%
22%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |