Caselas vs CCD Chain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
MOA
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAN
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 3
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
UDE
45%
23%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOA
1 - 1
CHA
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 5
DOM
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
CHA
54%
22%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 0
CAM
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |