Case-Pilote vs Samaritaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NSD
0 - 0
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
EUC
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CLU
4 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESS
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 0
RCS
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
EUC
1 - 2
SAM
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 0
ESS
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
RCS
2 - 2
SAM
47%
21%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
GOL
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 2
RCR
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |