Case-Pilote vs Vert-Pré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
7º
17
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
USR
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RCS
4 - 0
CAS
42%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
NEW
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AIG
1 - 1
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 0
CAS
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vert-Pré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AVP
1 - 0
GOO
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 0
AVP
38%
22%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AVP
2 - 1
GOL
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CPE
1 - 1
AVP
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVP
50%
23%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |