Cascavel FC vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
APU
0 - 0
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NPR
0 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
PST
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FOZ
1 - 0
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 2
FOZ
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 2
PST
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
APU
4 - 0
ACP
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -3 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 2
NPR
51%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |