Paranaense 1 Round 11

Cascavel CR vs Toledo EC analysis

Cascavel CR Toledo EC
47 ELO 53
3.5% Tilt -3.2%
28186º General ELO ranking 8645º
800º Country ELO ranking 357º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Cascavel CR
25.1%
Draw
41.3%
Toledo EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Cascavel CR
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.3%
Win probability
Toledo EC
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Cascavel CR
Toledo EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cascavel CR
Cascavel CR
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2009
COT
Coritiba
3 - 1
Cascavel CR
CCR
83%
13%
4%
45 79 34 0
25 Feb. 2009
CCR
Cascavel CR
3 - 0
Foz do Iguaçu
FOZ
45%
24%
31%
44 45 1 +1
21 Feb. 2009
JMA
J. Malucelli
0 - 0
Cascavel CR
CCR
64%
21%
16%
43 55 12 +1
14 Feb. 2009
LON
Londrina
2 - 2
Cascavel CR
CCR
69%
18%
13%
43 55 12 0
11 Feb. 2009
CCR
Cascavel CR
4 - 3
AA Iguaçu
IGU
56%
22%
22%
42 37 5 +1

Matches

Toledo EC
Toledo EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2009
TCW
Toledo EC
3 - 5
Paraná
PAR
25%
23%
52%
54 65 11 0
24 Feb. 2009
COT
Coritiba
2 - 1
Toledo EC
TCW
79%
15%
6%
55 79 24 -1
14 Feb. 2009
IGU
AA Iguaçu
2 - 1
Toledo EC
TCW
23%
24%
53%
55 36 19 0
12 Feb. 2009
TCW
Toledo EC
1 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
12%
20%
68%
54 81 27 +1
08 Feb. 2009
TCW
Toledo EC
1 - 0
Nacional PR
NPR
71%
18%
12%
54 36 18 0