Cascavel CR vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CCR
2 - 1
JMA
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
ATP
3 - 0
CCR
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
IRA
2 - 0
CCR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
CCR
0 - 1
LON
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
IGU
2 - 3
CCR
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
4 - 0
ACP
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CIA
2 - 2
PAR
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 0
TCW
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LON
3 - 2
PAR
18%
22%
60%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |