Cascavel CR vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
79.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
CCR
0 - 2
ACP
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
RIO
0 - 1
CCR
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
POL
1 - 1
CCR
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
ATP
1 - 0
POL
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 27 | 56 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
IRA
1 - 2
ATP
9%
16%
75%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
ATP
0 - 1
RIO
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
JMA
3 - 3
ATP
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 1
ATP
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |