Casasimarro vs Al-Basit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
7 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
HIG
32%
23%
46%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
5 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
BON
25%
23%
52%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DBA
1 - 3
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Basit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HIG
3 - 1
ABA
67%
18%
15%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ABA
0 - 3
BON
23%
22%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
1 - 0
ABA
78%
13%
8%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ABA
0 - 4
CAU
25%
21%
54%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CMG
3 - 1
ABA
69%
17%
15%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |