Casale vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 1
CAS
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
13%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
ASA
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAR
44%
28%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SES
2 - 4
FEZ
29%
23%
49%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MPO
1 - 0
SES
60%
23%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SES
2 - 0
FBC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAS
1 - 0
SES
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SES
0 - 2
SAV
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |