Casale vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 2
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VNZ
1 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
5%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIN
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAV
5 - 2
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
MIL
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAV
28%
26%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USA
2 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
VNZ
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
BV5
28%
27%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |