Casale vs Sanremese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 1
CAS
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 0
FER
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 1
CAS
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRI
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 1
CAS
66%
22%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sanremese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACD
33%
27%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACM
58%
24%
19%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAC
2 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACM
38%
28%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |