Gualdo Casacastalda vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
USP
1 - 0
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 3
ACS
43%
26%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 0
CAS
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
GHI
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAS
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
GAV
29%
27%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VMO
4 - 2
FOL
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 2
VFC
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 0
FOL
30%
26%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
SSD
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |