Gualdo Casacastalda vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DER
0 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
OST
2 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
4 - 2
FIE
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ANC
1 - 0
CAS
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 0
SPO
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIE
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
FOL
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
JMO
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 0
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |