Gualdo Casacastalda vs AS Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 2
CAS
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASD
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
CAS
24%
23%
52%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 2
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
DER
0 - 0
SAN
37%
28%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PIE
2 - 2
DER
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
DER
5 - 1
LAN
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SCA
3 - 1
DER
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DER
1 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |