Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
78.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
7 - 1
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 3
APO
49%
22%
28%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
91%
6%
3%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
59%
18%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
APO
3 - 6
SCP
15%
16%
70%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
SCP
13 - 0
CAR
86%
9%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |