FC Cartagena vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ECI
1 - 3
CAR
18%
27%
55%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
FCB
3 - 0
CAR
95%
4%
1%
|
63 | 96 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
ALG
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
SEV
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 3
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUC
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 2
BAL
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CRD
0 - 1
LUC
21%
28%
52%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |