FC Cartagena vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TAL
2 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
GRA
0 - 1
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
RJA
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
AGD
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
MEL
24%
29%
47%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
LUC
28%
29%
44%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LUC
4 - 2
ARC
48%
27%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CCF
1 - 1
LUC
30%
27%
42%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |