FC Cartagena vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
75%
18%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
REC
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
HUE
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
XER
3 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
HUE
74%
17%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
XER
2 - 1
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
UDL
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 1
HER
37%
28%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |