FC Cartagena vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UBC
1 - 1
CAR
53%
27%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 0
DBN
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
JER
37%
30%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 0
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
CDB
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 0
AGD
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
3 - 0
TOM
59%
26%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 1
ALB
18%
28%
54%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
34%
30%
37%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |