Carroi vs Engordany II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6%
2.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
4º
9
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 50 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 46 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 34 |
5º
|
99.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 31 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 12 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 12 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 2
FCS
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCO
0 - 6
CAR
43%
22%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
CAR
53%
22%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 6
PAC
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Engordany II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
ENG
81%
11%
8%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
SCO
1 - 3
ENG
94%
4%
2%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 6
AME
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PAC
8 - 0
ENG
89%
9%
3%
|
18 | 55 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 2
FCE
8%
12%
80%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |