Northern Ireland Second Division Round 5

Carrick Rangers vs Ards FC analysis

Carrick Rangers Ards FC
56 ELO 51
12.4% Tilt 15.9%
2170º General ELO ranking 2524º
15º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
59.9%
Carrick Rangers
21.1%
Draw
19%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
Carrick Rangers
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Carrick Rangers
+3%
+16%
Ards FC

ELO progression

Carrick Rangers
Ards FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2014
DUN
Dundela
2 - 5
Carrick Rangers
CAR
42%
24%
34%
54 50 4 0
25 Aug. 2014
DUN
Dundela
0 - 3
Carrick Rangers
CAR
48%
22%
30%
53 51 2 +1
23 Aug. 2014
CAR
Carrick Rangers
2 - 1
Larne
LAR
73%
16%
11%
53 43 10 0
19 Aug. 2014
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
3 - 0
Carrick Rangers
CAR
41%
25%
34%
54 52 2 -1
09 Aug. 2014
CAR
Carrick Rangers
2 - 0
Donegal Celtic
DON
72%
17%
12%
54 45 9 0

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2014
ARD
Ards FC
3 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
68%
19%
13%
51 43 8 0
25 Aug. 2014
PSN
PSNI
1 - 4
Ards FC
ARD
51%
23%
27%
50 50 0 +1
23 Aug. 2014
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
1 - 3
Ards FC
ARD
47%
24%
30%
49 46 3 +1
19 Aug. 2014
ARD
Ards FC
1 - 1
Bangor
BAN
34%
25%
42%
49 55 6 0
09 Aug. 2014
ARC
Armagh City
1 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
68%
18%
14%
48 56 8 +1