Carregal do Sal vs Nelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregal do Sal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SCP
0 - 2
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
LAM
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
SAT
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RES
2 - 0
CAR
55%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RES
5 - 1
NEL
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NEL
3 - 0
OFR
14%
20%
67%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +4 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NEL
1 - 1
SAM
22%
22%
56%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LAM
0 - 1
NEL
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NEL
1 - 2
CAS
15%
20%
65%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |