Carregado vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
48.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 1
OLI
22%
28%
50%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
FAT
32%
28%
41%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
FEI
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 1
SCF
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
FEI
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |