Carrarese vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LRO
1 - 1
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
RIM
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
TER
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
SAV
1 - 1
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 1
ANC
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PON
0 - 0
PIS
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 1
PIS
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 0
PIS
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |