Carrarese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
OLB
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
BSP
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USA
2 - 1
CAR
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 0
USC
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 2
ASL
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASL
2 - 0
PIS
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RCR
0 - 0
ASL
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |