Carrarese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
CES
39%
30%
32%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACL
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 2
TRI
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PAD
2 - 2
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 0
ABN
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
4 - 0
VAR
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
VAR
3 - 1
REG
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |