Carrarese vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VIS
1 - 0
CAR
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 1
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ANC
3 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
SIE
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASL
60%
23%
16%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
REC
4 - 0
ANC
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ANC
3 - 0
RIM
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
ANC
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ANC
3 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |