Carrarese vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAC
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAR
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
LRO
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RIM
1 - 1
CAR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ACP
3 - 3
SAN
40%
28%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TUT
0 - 0
ACP
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ACP
3 - 2
LAQ
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PON
2 - 0
ACP
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |