Carranza vs CD Molareño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
JRR
0 - 2
CAR
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
ORO
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EPA
1 - 3
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
CCA
19%
22%
59%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CFR
0 - 0
CAR
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Molareño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
MOL
1 - 0
FUE
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VBL
1 - 4
MOL
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOL
3 - 2
SMC
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 1
MOL
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MOL
0 - 0
SAG
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |