Carquefou vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
VAN
0 - 0
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
USB
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
ORL
34%
30%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAB
2 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
MET
3 - 1
AMI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
MET
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
SPI
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
UZE
1 - 1
MET
19%
26%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |