Carpina vs Jaguar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carpina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
SSS
0 - 2
CSC
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CSC
3 - 0
AFC
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
CSC
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 0
CSC
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
CSC
0 - 2
PES
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
ADJ
2 - 2
ACA
20%
20%
59%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FEC
2 - 3
ADJ
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ADJ
2 - 2
PER
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
IFC
1 - 1
ADJ
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
ADJ
3 - 0
LIM
44%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |