AC Carpi vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPE
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 1
CAR
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
TER
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAV
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
AVE
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCV
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 0
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 0
PIS
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
AVE
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |