AC Carpi vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 1
CAR
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
BOL
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 2
CAR
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
CAR
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
PES
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOL
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
PES
2 - 3
BRE
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
TRA
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
LAT
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |