Carpi Sub 19 vs Genoa Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carpi Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAT
36%
24%
41%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 3
GEN
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GEN
3 - 1
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 2
GEN
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPE
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |