Caronnese vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PDH
1 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 1
CAR
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
DER
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ART
1 - 1
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
SAN
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
DER
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAS
50%
25%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
VFC
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
PDH
1 - 1
CAS
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
ART
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |