Caronnese vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ACC
0 - 2
CAR
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
STG
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SER
2 - 3
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
VOG
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
PER
17%
24%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
VOG
30%
25%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
STG
0 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |