Carlton Town vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SHE
0 - 2
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEE
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 0
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
6 - 1
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 3
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 0
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 1
BED
20%
21%
60%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CLE
3 - 1
SPA
82%
11%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 3
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |