Carlton Town vs Rainworth Miners Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
COA
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GOO
2 - 2
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
LOU
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 6
CAR
10%
18%
73%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 2
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rainworth Miners Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
RAI
3 - 0
STA
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
RAI
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LEE
1 - 0
RAI
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 3
GOO
33%
23%
45%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 0
LIN
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |